Andrew Reid PhD

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Functional connectivity as a causal concept
Published on 2019-10-14
by Andrew Reid
#12

Redefining "functional connectivity"?

After expressing a few misgivings about functional connectivity (FC) here, the ensuing Twitter conversation led to a perspective article which has recently been published in Nature Neuroscience (link). The general motivation for this was that the conversation around FC seemed to be impeded by a disagreement over how the term "connectivity" should be defined, and what sort of inferences an observation of FC can support. Our approach in this paper was ambitious, and not a bit controversial:

  • A property called "functional connectivity" should specify a causal biological mechanism as its target inference
  • Assumptions required to infer causal mechanisms from observations should be made explicit
  • Ambiguities in such inferences — the inability to infer directionality from a given set of observations, for instance — should also be specified

The upshot of this is: the definition of FC should include causality, which is implied by the physical term "connectivity", and references to this term should be upfront and specific about how closely a particular approach comes to elucidating biological mechanisms. Notably, it's cool if a method doesn't attempt to infer causality (such approaches can still be highly informative about brain organization), but then it shouldn't really be interpreted as "connectivity", but rather as, for example, a statistical description or a dimensionality reduction.

Why causality?

The idea that FC should always refer to causality may seem like an impossible bar, but bear with me. The idea here is not to assert that FC methods must either support full causal inferences or not call themselves FC, but rather that they should seek to infer causality, and then be honest about how short they fell of that bar. In other words, they should be formulated in such a way that the ultimate inference is a biological mechanism, but the set of assumptions, methodological issues, and confounders that introduce ambiguity into such an inference should be acknowledged. A key idea behind the framework we propose in this article is that any given concrete methodology that attempts to infer biological mechanisms will in practice likely fall short of that mark, because it will be ambiguous with respect to at least one of the necessary properties of a causal connection:

  • Directionality (does information pass from A→B or B→A?)
  • Directedness (does information pass directly from A→B, or through some set of intermediaries A→X→B)?
  • Weight (how strongly does activity in A influence activity in B?)

The basis for this reformulation of the concept of FC was: if we are going to use a term that implies causality, then we should encourage the dialogue around that term to focus on how well, or poorly, the results of such methods support a causal inference. In other words, we need to make an implicit conversation more explicit. This means highlighting key assumptions and observational pathways (from sensors to sources) so that these can undergo proper scrutiny, and identifying major confounders and the ambiguity they impose, such that their (in)tractability can be considered and addressed.

Notably, we remain agnostic in this framework about the question of whether causality can or cannot be practically inferred from current observational methodologies. Strong cases have been made for the intractability of this pursuit (most notably by the group of Konrad Körding here and here; also, see this intuitive explanation of the confounder problem by Roberto Pascual-Marqui). On the other hand, detailed descriptions of causal modeling approaches that explicitly seek to elucidate biological mechanisms have also been proposed (see this detailed review by Pedro Valdés-Sosa and colleagues). The motivation instead was to suggest a framework by which erroneous/implied inferences could better be prevented, and through which the conversation could more directly identify stumbling blocks to progress in the field of systems neuroscience.

Moving forward

Why write this perspective? Why now? What does it add?

In my experience, this conversation has been going on outside of the literature for years. The question of whether correlations in functional signals can tell us anything meaningful about physical connectivity has been bandied about consistently, and I never really had a good answer for it. The question marks led me and colleagues to try and compare different types of methods for inferring connectivity (functional and anatomical), including diffusion weighted imaging, resting-state fMRI, meta-analytic connectivity modelling, structural covariance, and monkey tract tracing compiled in the CoCoMac database.

There are overlaps, but there are also glaring discrepancies. This is perhaps not surprising, but what is surprising (to me) is how often "connectivity" and "networks" are discussed without the disclaimer that the metrics we have are really quite ambiguous and often contradictory with respect to the actual, physical connections of the brain.

So yes, I do believe this sort of perspective is timely and necessary. We need to advance the dialogue around connectivity, and frankly be a bit more critical about claims drawn from evidence obtained through neuroimaging or even intracranial recordings in humans. In many cases we simply can't say a lot about the biological mechanisms of these observations, because there are some very large, and possibly inherent, limitations to the scope and resolution of these methods. We find interesting patterns, and it's important to discuss the implications of those patterns, but it is equally important to acknowledge what they cannot tell us.

In the course of composing this manuscript with an excellent group of peers, I am glad to say I have learned a good deal and have budged a bit in my initial skepticism of brain connectivity work. I am coming around to the idea that it is possible to evaluate functional connectivity in more explicitly causal ways. This involves firstly framing the problem in causal terms, secondly enumerating the assumptions required to support a causal inference, thirdly acknowledging the degree of causal ambiguity inherent in a given method (for example, we may be able to determine that A causes B, but not the weight or timing of this relationship; or we may only be able to establish that A precedes B, without determining whether this relationship requires an intervening entity C), and fourthly by using clever validation and modelling approaches to reduce the fairly immense search space.

It also requires designing experiments and corresponding models with causal relationships in mind. For example, Mill and colleagues had subjects learn associations between auditory and visual stimuli, and then asked them to retrieve previously encoded multimodal associations based on a cue that was either visual (Vis-Aud) or auditory (Aud-Vis). This design allowed them to define a "ground truth" of directionality between primary auditory and visual ROIs. They used this approach to validate existing methods of causal influence (Granger causality, Patel's tau and phase slope index). This approach admittedly becomes more ambiguous the further from sensory areas we look, but is nonetheless a great example of the sort of design we need to think about if we want to move from correlative observations to more causal ones.

I remain skeptical that we will ever compile a full, causal description of brain function (i.e., at the neuron level), due to the sheer size of the model space and the corresponding confounding problem, but I do think we stand a chance of characterizing informative constraints on the problem.

The quest continues...

Comments here
In neuroscience, the conversation around the term "functional connectivity" can be confusing, largely due to the implicit notion that associations can map directly onto physical connections. In our recent Nature Neuroscience perspective piece, we propose the redefinition of this term as a causal inference, in order to refocus the conversation around how we investigate brain connectivity, and interpret the results of such investigations.
Tags:Connectivity · FMRI · Causality · Neuroscience · Musings
connectivity,FMRI,causality,neuroscience,Musings
Causal discovery: An introduction
Published on 2024-09-23
by Andrew Reid
#21
This post continues my exploration of causal inference, focusing on the type of problem an empirical researcher is most familiar with: where the underlying causal model is not known. In this case, the model must be discovered. I use some Python code to introduce the PC algorithm, one of the original and most popular approaches to causal discovery. I also discuss its assumptions and limitations, and briefly outline some more recent approaches. This is part of a line of teaching-oriented posts aimed at explaining fundamental concepts in statistics, neuroscience, and psychology.
Tags:Stats · Causality · Causal inference · Causal discovery · Graph theory · Teaching
stats,causality,causal inference,causal discovery,graph theory,Teaching
Causal inference: An introduction
Published on 2023-07-17
by Andrew Reid
#20
Hammer about to hit a nail, representing a causal event.
In this post, I attempt (as a non-expert enthusiast) to provide a gentle introduction to the central concepts underlying causal inference. What is causal inference and why do we need it? How can we represent our causal reasoning in graphical form, and how does this enable us to apply graph theory to simplify our calculations? How do we deal with unobserved confounders? This is part of a line of teaching-oriented posts aimed at explaining fundamental concepts in statistics, neuroscience, and psychology.
Tags:Stats · Causality · Causal inference · Graph theory · Teaching
stats,causality,causal inference,graph theory,Teaching
Multiple linear regression: short videos
Published on 2022-08-10
by Andrew Reid
#19
In a previous series of posts, I discussed simple and multiple linear regression (MLR) approaches, with the aid of interactive 2D and 3D plots and a bit of math. In this post, I am sharing a series of short videos aimed at psychology undergraduates, each explaining different aspects of MLR in more detail. The goal of these videos (which formed part of my second-year undergraduate module) is to give a little more depth to fundamental concepts that many students struggle with. This is part of a line of teaching-oriented posts aimed at explaining fundamental concepts in statistics, neuroscience, and psychology.
Tags:Stats · Linear regression · Teaching
stats,linear regression,Teaching
Learning about multiple linear regression
Published on 2021-12-30
by Andrew Reid
#18
In this post, I explore multiple linear regression, generalizing from the simple two-variable case to three- and many-variable cases. This includes an interactive 3D plot of a regression plane and a discussion of statistical inference and overfitting. This is part of a line of teaching-oriented posts aimed at explaining fundamental concepts in statistics, neuroscience, and psychology.
Tags:Stats · Linear regression · Teaching
stats,linear regression,Teaching
Learning about fMRI analysis
Published on 2021-06-24
by Andrew Reid
#17
In this post, I focus on the logic underlying statistical inference based on fMRI research designs. This consists of (1) modelling the hemodynamic response; (2) "first-level" within-subject analysis of time series; (3) "second-level" population inferences drawn from a random sample of participants; and (4) dealing with familywise error. This is part of a line of teaching-oriented posts aimed at explaining fundamental concepts in statistics, neuroscience, and psychology.
Tags:Stats · FMRI · Hemodynamic response · Mixed-effects model · Random field theory · False discovery rate · Teaching
stats,fMRI,hemodynamic response,mixed-effects model,random field theory,false discovery rate,Teaching
Learning about simple linear regression
Published on 2021-03-25
by Andrew Reid
#16
In this post, I introduce the concept of simple linear regression, where we are evaluating the how well a linear model approximates a relationship between two variables of interest, and how to perform statistical inference on this model. This is part of a line of teaching-oriented posts aimed at explaining fundamental concepts in statistics, neuroscience, and psychology.
Tags:Stats · Linear regression · F distribution · Teaching
stats,linear regression,F distribution,Teaching
New preprint: Tract-specific statistics from diffusion MRI
Published on 2021-03-05
by Andrew Reid
#15
In our new preprint, we describe a novel methodology for (1) identifying the most probable "core" tract trajectory for two arbitrary brain regions, and (2) estimating tract-specific anisotropy (TSA) at all points along this trajectory. We describe the outcomes of regressing this TSA metric against participants' age and sex. Our hope is that this new method can serve as a complement to the popular TBSS approach, where researchers desire to investigate effects specific to a pre-established set of ROIs.
Tags:Diffusion-weighted imaging · Tractography · Connectivity · MRI · News
diffusion-weighted imaging,tractography,connectivity,MRI,News
Learning about correlation and partial correlation
Published on 2021-02-04
by Andrew Reid
#14
This is the first of a line of teaching-oriented posts aimed at explaining fundamental concepts in statistics, neuroscience, and psychology. In this post, I will try to provide an intuitive explanation of (1) the Pearson correlation coefficient, (2) confounding, and (3) how partial correlations can be used to address confounding.
Tags:Stats · Linear regression · Correlation · Partial correlation · Teaching
stats,linear regression,correlation,partial correlation,Teaching
Linear regression: dealing with skewed data
Published on 2020-11-17
by Andrew Reid
#13
One important caveat when working with large datasets is that you can almost always produce a statistically significant result when performing a null hypothesis test. This is why it is even more critical to evaluate the effect size than the p value in such an analysis. It is equally important to consider the distribution of your data, and its implications for statistical inference. In this blog post, I use simulated data in order to explore this caveat more intuitively, focusing on a pre-print article that was recently featured on BBC.
Tags:Linear regression · Correlation · Skewness · Stats
linear regression,correlation,skewness,Stats
Functional connectivity? But...
Published on 2017-07-26
by Andrew Reid
#11
Functional connectivity is a term originally coined to describe statistical dependence relationships between time series. But should such a relationship really be called connectivity? Functional correlations can easily arise from networks in the complete absence of physical connectivity (i.e., the classical axon/synapse projection we know from neurobiology). In this post I elaborate on recent conversations I've had regarding the use of correlations or partial correlations to infer the presence of connections, and their use in constructing graphs for topological analyses.
Tags:Connectivity · FMRI · Graph theory · Partial correlation · Stats
connectivity,fMRI,graph theory,partial correlation,Stats
Driving the Locus Coeruleus: A Presentation to Mobify
Published on 2017-07-17
by Andrew Reid
#10
How do we know when to learn, and when not to? Recently I presented my work to Vancouver-based Mobify, including the use of a driving simulation task to answer this question. They put it up on YouTube, so I thought I'd share.
Tags:Norepinephrine · Pupillometry · Mobify · Learning · Driving simulation · News
norepinephrine,pupillometry,Mobify,learning,driving simulation,News
Limitless: A neuroscientist's film review
Published on 2017-03-29
by Andrew Reid
#9
In the movie Limitless, Bradley Cooper stars as a down-and-out writer who happens across a superdrug that miraculously heightens his cognitive abilities, including memory recall, creativity, language acquisition, and action planning. It apparently also makes his eyes glow with an unnerving and implausible intensity. In this blog entry, I explore this intriguing possibility from a neuroscientific perspective.
Tags:Cognition · Pharmaceuticals · Limitless · Memory · Hippocampus · Musings
cognition,pharmaceuticals,limitless,memory,hippocampus,Musings
The quest for the human connectome: a progress report
Published on 2016-10-29
by Andrew Reid
#8
The term "connectome" was introduced in a seminal 2005 PNAS article, as a sort of analogy to the genome. However, unlike genomics, the methods available to study human connectomics remain poorly defined and difficult to interpret. In particular, the use of diffusion-weighted imaging approaches to estimate physical connectivity is fraught with inherent limitations, which are often overlooked in the quest to publish "connectivity" findings. Here, I provide a brief commentary on these issues, and highlight a number of ways neuroscience can proceed in light of them.
Tags:Connectivity · Diffusion-weighted imaging · Probabilistic tractography · Tract tracing · Musings
connectivity,diffusion-weighted imaging,probabilistic tractography,tract tracing,Musings
New Article: Seed-based multimodal comparison of connectivity estimates
Published on 2016-06-24
by Andrew Reid
#7
Our article proposing a threshold-free method for comparing seed-based connectivity estimates was recently accepted to Brain Structure & Function. We compared two structural covariance approaches (cortical thickness and voxel-based morphometry), and two functional ones (resting-state functional MRI and meta-analytic connectivity mapping, or MACM).
Tags:Multimodal · Connectivity · Structural covariance · Resting state · MACM · News
multimodal,connectivity,structural covariance,resting state,MACM,News
Four New ANIMA Studies
Published on 2016-03-18
by Andrew Reid
#6
Announcing four new submissions to the ANIMA database, which brings us to 30 studies and counting. Check them out if you get the time!
Tags:ANIMA · Neuroscience · Meta-analysis · ALE · News
ANIMA,neuroscience,meta-analysis,ALE,News
Exaptation: how evolution recycles neural mechanisms
Published on 2016-02-27
by Andrew Reid
#5
Exaptation refers to the tendency across evolution to recycle existing mechanisms for new and more complex functions. By analogy, this is likely how episodic memory — and indeed many of our higher level neural processes — evolved from more basic functions such as spatial navigation. Here I explore these ideas in light of the current evidence.
Tags:Hippocampus · Memory · Navigation · Exaptation · Musings
hippocampus,memory,navigation,exaptation,Musings
The business of academic writing
Published on 2016-02-04
by Andrew Reid
#4
Publishers of scientific articles have been slow to adapt their business models to the rapid evolution of scientific communication — mostly because there is profit in dragging their feet. I explore the past, present, and future of this important issue.
Tags:Journals · Articles · Impact factor · Citations · Business · Musings
journals,articles,impact factor,citations,business,Musings
Reflections on multivariate analyses
Published on 2016-01-15
by Andrew Reid
#3
Machine learning approaches to neuroimaging analysis offer promising solutions to research questions in cognitive neuroscience. Here I reflect on recent interactions with the developers of the Nilearn project.
Tags:MVPA · Machine learning · Nilearn · Elastic net · Statistics · Stats
MVPA,machine learning,nilearn,elastic net,statistics,Stats
New ANIMA study: Hu et al. 2015
Published on 2016-01-11
by Andrew Reid
#2
Announcing a new submission to the ANIMA database: Hu et al., Neuroscience & Biobehavioral Reviews, 2015.
Tags:ANIMA · Neuroscience · Meta-analysis · ALE · Self · News
ANIMA,neuroscience,meta-analysis,ALE,self,News
Who Am I?
Published on 2016-01-10
by Andrew Reid
#1
Musings on who I am, where I came from, and where I'm going as a Neuroscientist.
Tags:Labels · Neuroscience · Cognition · Musings
labels,neuroscience,cognition,Musings